We wish there was good news. We wish there were even regular news. Alas, as we have gone deeper into 2022, our crystal ball does not have the clarity to report. Just as we’re hoping that we are seeing the back of COVID19 disruptions in global economic trade, supply chain, and logistics, we can already see new crises on the horizon. 

Market Sentiment, Challenges, and the Supply Chain Connect

Last week, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) downgraded its global economic growth forecast by half a percent to 4.4. In doing so, it cited supply chain issues as a primary reason that is pulling the optimism around growth downward. 

It’s not that the pandemic-related issues are simply going to vanish, but that the fragility of our supply chain ecosystem stands exposed. We also heard of COVID19 shutdowns in China, a vital piece of the global supply chain jigsaw puzzle. Expect the unexpected.

The world is also acutely aware of the conflict in Eastern Europe and its implications on global supply chains. The cross-border war has fractured the global manufacturing supply chain community into diverse groups, impacting import-export schedules, and affecting embargos, trade routes, and more. 

On the other hand, the standoff between the two major economies of Asia is adding to the woes of local manufacturers and suppliers. It has given rise to a race – to gain supremacy and control on the best maritime trade routes to enable predictable, safe, and cost-effective movement of goods.

The 4Ms of Global Supply Chain Diversification as a Response

In short, we could all use a breather. A 4-M model could provide respite for organizations exposed to the intricacies and lack of predictability in the supply chain.

1. Multi-Commodity: It is time for organizations to look at a broader range of products to diversify risk and tide over difficult times. By going wide and searching for alternatives, we can insulate ourselves against geopolitical risk and region-specific blockades to a more considerable extent.
2. Multi-Supplier: As the name suggests, manufacturers should look at a broader supplier base for the same materials. While this may seem counter-productive for vendor management, the risk of receiving critical supplies from a select group of vendors is more dangerous.
3. Multi-Modal Logistics – We must look at a more flexible and robust combination of logistics modes rather than depend on the tried and tested formula. The choice between air, land, and sea must be balanced to avoid last-minute surprises.
4. Multi-Routes – Organizations are advised to select a combination of safer routes (green/yellow classifications) to ensure supplies emanating from different geographical areas do not face disruption.

In essence, in the coming years, businesses need to be resilient and flexible so they can be better at anticipating, reacting, planning, and recalibrating against the unexpected by developing long-term strategies and solutions; and enabling cross-functional integration and collaboration within their ecosystem of vendors.

Understanding the depth of your procurement and supply chain database by automating the collection, integration, analysis, reporting, alerting, and visualization of your supply chain data can help you recognize risk early and actually do something about it.

To experience an increased visibility and transparency in your operation process, let your sourcing and procurement teams have access to real-time visibility and data so they can be gung-ho!